The situation in Sevastopol reached a breaking point over the weekend. Mayor Mikhail Razvozhayev announced a complete freeze on fuel sales, restricting remaining supplies to emergency services. Public life has been severely curtailed: ferry services are suspended, street lighting is off, and public transport is limited to daylight hours. The regional government further signaled the severity of the situation by ordering the closure of all children’s summer camps through September 1.
Military analysts attribute this collapse to a persistent, multi-year strategy by Ukrainian forces. By neutralizing tankers in the Sea of Azov and systematically hitting fuel depots, the Ukrainian military has rendered the peninsula’s logistics untenable. French analyst Clément Molin noted that the tempo of medium-range strikes on Russian transport has intensified, with recent data showing an average of 30 strikes on Russian supply trucks daily. While Russian forces have attempted to counter these attacks with mobile anti-drone teams and armed convoys, the blockade of the Kerch Strait remains a primary bottleneck, forcing the Russian military to rely on increasingly precarious supply routes.
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