Analysis by the Barents Observer indicates that at least 20 launchers have vanished from positions surrounding Severodvinsk, home to the Sevmash and Zvezdochka shipyards. These facilities remain the only sites in Russia capable of constructing and maintaining nuclear submarines. Experts suggest these assets were redirected following high-profile Ukrainian strikes, including the loss of a battalion commander, Lieutenant Colonel Vladimir Spiridonov, in Crimea earlier this year.
The thinning of these defenses exposes the fragility of Russia's strategic posture. While the Kremlin continues to frame the conflict as a defensive struggle against NATO aggression, the decision to leave a critical naval shipyard vulnerable suggests a desperate reallocation of resources. As Russian air defense stocks dwindle faster than domestic industry can replenish them, the military faces a stark choice between securing its industrial heartland and attempting to stem the tide of Ukrainian drone and missile campaigns across the southern front.

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